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Determinants of In-Hospital Mortality in Acute Heart Failure: A Retrospective ICU Cohort
Session:
Sessão de Posters 50 - Terapêuticas avançadas na insuficiência cardíaca e em populações especiais
Speaker:
Rita Ventura
Congress:
CPC 2026
Topic:
D. Heart Failure
Theme:
11. Acute Heart Failure
Subtheme:
11.2 Acute Heart Failure – Epidemiology, Prognosis, Outcome
Session Type:
Posters Eletrónicos
FP Number:
---
Authors:
Rita Ventura; Mafalda Griné; Inês Brito e Cruz; Maria João Primo; Didier Martinez; Manuel Oliveira Santos; Catarina Silva; Nuno Devesa
Abstract
<p><strong>Introduction:</strong> Acute Heart failure (AHF) frequently complicates critical illness and remains a</p> <p>major contributor to ICU mortality. Despite advances in monitoring and organ support, early</p> <p>risk stratification is challenging. Identifying predictors of in-hospital mortality may help</p> <p>clinicians recognize high-risk patients sooner.</p> <p><strong>Purpose: </strong>To identify independent clinical and severity-related predictors of in-hospital</p> <p>mortality among critically ill patients with AHF.</p> <p><strong>Methods: </strong>Retrospective single-center cohort including ICU patients with decompensated HF</p> <p>at admission or during their ICU stay (2020-2023). Clinical, laboratory, echocardiographic, and</p> <p>treatment data were collected. Disease severity was assessed with SAPS II, APACHE II, and</p> <p>24-hour SOFA. Candidate predictors included: left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF)</p> <p>category, creatinine, sodium, lactate, invasive mechanical ventilation, cardiogenic shock, renal</p> <p>replacement therapy (RRT) and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO). Variables</p> <p>significant in univariate analysis were entered into a multivariable logistic regression model.</p> <p>Model discrimination was evaluated using ROC curve analysis.</p> <p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 113 patients were included (median age 69 years; 60.5% male). In-hospital</p> <p>mortality was 33.6% (n = 38). Non-survivors showed higher severity scores: SAPS II (61.1 ±</p> <p>20.5 vs. 52.5 ± 17.3, p = 0.026), APACHE II (28.1 ± 9.7 vs. 23.5 ± 9.1, p = 0.019), and SOFA</p> <p>24-hour (10.4 ± 3.2 vs. 9.0 ± 3.2, p = 0.038). Renal replacement therapy (RRT) was more</p> <p>frequent among non-survivors (42.1% vs. 13.3%, p < 0.001). Lactate was also higher (1.97</p> <p>[1.33—4.13] vs. 1.46 [1.00—2.25], p = 0.047). Other variables - including LVEF categories,</p> <p>creatinine, sodium, mechanical ventilation, cardiogenic shock and ECMO - were not</p> <p>associated with mortality. In multivariable analysis, APACHE II and RRT remained</p> <p>independent predictors: each APACHE II point increased mortality risk by 5.2% (OR = 1.05,</p> <p>95% CI 1.00 - 1.10, p = 0.040), and RRT was associated with 4.8-fold higher odds of death</p> <p>(OR = 4.85, 95% CI 1.85 - 12.73, p = 0.001). Model discrimination was good, with an area</p> <p>under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.738 (95% CI 0.63 - 0.85, p = 0.003).</p> <p><strong>Conclusion:</strong> In critically ill patients with AHF, higher disease severity (APACHE II) and need</p> <p>for RRT independently predicted in-hospital mortality. These findings highlight both the</p> <p>prognostic relevance of early physiological severity and the impact of renal dysfunction in this</p> <p>population.</p>
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